ADM - Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 5:59 PMFresh

Price & Trend 81.41 • 52W 55.58 - 83.10

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
52%
131 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+3.9%
68 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.3%
63 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 15 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 14 signals)
Best Signal Type
Breakout
21 signals • 57% win rate
Avg gain: +1.1%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
12 signals • 50% win rate
Avg loss: -0.3%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
Breakout 57%
21 signals +1.1%
MA50Touch 53%
19 signals +0.6%
PullbackBounce 52%
27 signals +1.1%
PocketPivot 50%
52 signals 0.0%
MA200Reclaim 50%
12 signals -0.3%

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.33)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±5% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting downward / accumulation bias with more troughs than peaks and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.33 Moderate ?
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$81.41
Score U
0.675
RS 6M U
90
RS 3M U
85

Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.26:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Breakout Candidate | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 0.26:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.26:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 5 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$74.90

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+2.1%

R/R: 0.3:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$10.17 (12.5%)
Range: $71.24 - $91.58

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +27%) to monitor. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.3:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 90, RS3M 85)

Absolute rating Buy

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.25)

Negatives / Risks

Stretched above MA200 +27%

Bullish Factors 8

Elite 6m RS: 90th percentile (top 10%)

Elite 3m RS: 85th percentile (top 15%)

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

Good accumulation: 1.25x up/down volume

Strong 1-week gain: +5.0%

Near 52-week high: -2.0% off peak

Risk/Reward: 0.26:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 2.1% )

Bearish Factors 1

Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$81.41
MA 50
$72.15
12.8%
MA 150
$65.66
24.0%
MA 200
$64.33
26.5%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 17:59

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.04 Articles 7d: 23 Latest: 0.00 (3)Peak: +0.23 Oct 8
Archer-Daniels-Midland schedules November 3 results for Archer-Daniels-Midland stock - ad-hoc-news.de
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 15 10:25 AM 0.00
Archer-Daniels-Midland schedules November 3 results for Archer-Daniels-Midland stock ad-hoc-news.de
ETFs Are Net Sellers of Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) on Oct. 13 - GuruFocus
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 15 4:28 AM 0.00
ETFs Are Net Sellers of Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) on Oct. 13 GuruFocus
Archer Daniels Midland Company
ADM stock - BingNews Oct 15 3:12 AM 0.00
Archer-Daniels-Midland is fairly valued at current levels. With our price target of $81.91 suggesting limited downside, the stock appears to be trading near fair value. Consider your portfolio ...
ADM Nov 2026 65.000 put (ADM261120P00065000) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 14 7:14 AM 0.00
ADM Nov 2026 65.000 put (ADM261120P00065000) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada
ADM Jan 2029 47.500 call (ADM290119C00047500) Stock Historical Prices & Data - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 14 6:20 AM 0.00
ADM Jan 2029 47.500 call (ADM290119C00047500) Stock Historical Prices & Data - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada
Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Shares Purchased by Sax Wealth Advisors LLC - MarketBeat
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 14 1:09 AM +0.10
Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Shares Purchased by Sax Wealth Advisors LLC MarketBeat
Is Admiral Group (LSE:ADM) Stock Set To Draw Attention As A Buyback Programme Begins? - Kalkine Media
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 14 12:02 AM 0.00
Is Admiral Group (LSE:ADM) Stock Set To Draw Attention As A Buyback Programme Begins? Kalkine Media
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Sco - GuruFocus
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 13 2:34 PM +0.10
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Sco GuruFocus
ADM stock rises as traders position for Q3 earnings after stronger guidance - Quiver Quantitative
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 13 2:21 PM +0.10
ADM stock rises as traders position for Q3 earnings after stronger guidance Quiver Quantitative
ADM Nov 2026 115.000 call (ADM261120C00115000) Interactive Stock Chart - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 13 1:01 PM 0.00
ADM Nov 2026 115.000 call (ADM261120C00115000) Interactive Stock Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada
Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Stock Holdings Reduced by Kieckhefer Group LLC - MarketBeat
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:28 AM +0.10
Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Stock Holdings Reduced by Kieckhefer Group LLC MarketBeat
Why is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock rallying today? - Investing.com
"ADM stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:17 AM +0.10
Why is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock rallying today? Investing.com
Will ADM (ADM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ADM stock - BingNews Oct 13 1:10 AM +0.10
Looking for a stock that has been consistently beating earnings estimates and might be well positioned to keep the streak alive in its next quarterly report? Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), which ...
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