AHL - Aspen Insurance Holdings Limite

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-02-03
us_universe.csv
Last updated: Feb 03, 2026 at 7:08 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 37.20 • 52W 27.05 - 37.35

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 70% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
70%
30 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.7%
21 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-1.5%
9 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 12 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 4 signals)
rocket_launch Breakouts outperform pullbacks (89% vs 40% win rate)
Best Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
1 signals • 100% win rate
Avg gain: +13.5%
Worst Signal Type
PullbackBounce
5 signals • 40% win rate
Avg loss: 2.6%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA200Reclaim 100%
1 signals +13.5%
Breakout 89%
9 signals +3.9%
PocketPivot 67%
15 signals +1.5%
PullbackBounce 40%
5 signals +2.6%
Trading Insights
lightbulb High probability setup - 70% of signals profitable over 10 days.
lightbulb Favorable risk/reward - winners (4.7%) outpace losers (-1.5%).
lightbulb Focus on MA200Reclaim signals - 100% win rate.
lightbulb Avoid PullbackBounce signals - only 40% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.83)

This stock shows a strong and consistent ±5% cycle approximately every 2.0 days, suggesting a reliable short-term rhythm.

This stock shows a strong ±5% swing repeating roughly every ~2.0 days with upward bias with limited downside troughs, indicating high cyclic predictability.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.83 Strong ?
??????????????????????????37.2000007629394527.51000022888183605-0806-0907-1008-0809-0910-0811-0612-0801-07
? Trough ? Peak

This stock shows a strong and consistent ±5% cycle approximately every 2.0 days, suggesting a reliable short-term rhythm.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$37.20
Score U
0.477
RS 6M U
50
RS 3M U
50

description Recommendation Summary

Underperform Confidence: 1/10 Performance: C+ Below Avg R/C: 0.67:1

UNDERPERFORM (Confidence: 1/10) - Breakout Candidate | Early Uptrend (Above MA50) | Average Momentum | R/R 0.67:1 (Risk 0.6%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Early Uptrend (Above MA50)

Momentum

Average Momentum

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

grade Absolute Rating

Underperform Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (1 points)
cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.67:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 3 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$36.96

0.6% risk
Potential Upside

+0.4%

R/R: 0.6:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$0.44 (1.2%)
Range: $36.76 - $37.64

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with moderate relative positioning and a developing composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.7:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.27)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 4

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Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

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Good accumulation: 1.27x up/down volume

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Near 52-week high: -0.4% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 0.67:1 (Risk 0.6%, Reward 0.4% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 3

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Weak 6m RS: 50th percentile (underperforming)

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Low composite score: 0.477

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Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$37.20
MA 50
$36.96
0.6%
MA 150
$34.60
7.5%
MA 200
$37.20
0.0%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Feb 03 19:08

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: 0.00 Articles 7d: 3 Latest: 0.00 (2)Peak: 0.00 Jan 28
AHL: Renwick’s goal lifts Penguins to win over Lehigh Valley - Wilkes-Barre Citizens' Voice
"AHL stock" - Google News Feb 01 3:54 PM 0.00
AHL: Renwick’s goal lifts Penguins to win over Lehigh Valley Wilkes-Barre Citizens' Voice
AHL: Penguins start off weekend with victory - Wilkes-Barre Citizens' Voice
"AHL stock" - Google News Jan 31 6:18 PM 0.00
AHL: Penguins start off weekend with victory Wilkes-Barre Citizens' Voice
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