AHL - Aspen Insurance Holdings Limite

Stock Analysis

Data: 2025-12-10
us_universe.csv
Last updated: Dec 10, 2025 at 6:02 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 36.79 • 52W 27.05 - 37.03

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 79% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
79%
19 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+6.5%
15 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.2%
4 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 12 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 3 signals)
Best Signal Type
PullbackBounce
1 signals • 100% win rate
Avg gain: +13.5%
Worst Signal Type
PocketPivot
12 signals • 67% win rate
Avg loss: 1.9%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PullbackBounce 100%
1 signals +13.5%
MA200Reclaim 100%
1 signals +13.5%
Breakout 100%
5 signals +7.0%
PocketPivot 67%
12 signals +1.9%
Trading Insights
lightbulb High probability setup - 79% of signals profitable over 10 days.
lightbulb Favorable risk/reward - winners (6.5%) outpace losers (-3.2%).
lightbulb Focus on PullbackBounce signals - 100% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.83)

This stock shows a strong and consistent ±5% cycle approximately every 2.0 days, suggesting a reliable short-term rhythm.

This stock shows a strong ±5% swing repeating roughly every ~2.0 days with upward bias with limited downside troughs, indicating high cyclic predictability.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.83 Strong ?
?????????????????????36.8600006103515627.51000022888183605-0806-0306-2707-2308-1509-1010-0310-2811-14
? Trough ? Peak

This stock shows a strong and consistent ±5% cycle approximately every 2.0 days, suggesting a reliable short-term rhythm.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$36.79
Score U
0.492
RS 6M U
50
RS 3M U
50

description Recommendation Summary

Underperform Confidence: 1/10 Performance: C+ Below Avg R/C: 3.50:1

UNDERPERFORM (Confidence: 1/10) - Breakout Candidate | Neutral/Choppy | Average Momentum | R/R 3.50:1 (Risk 0.2%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Neutral/Choppy

Momentum

Average Momentum

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

grade Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (1 points)
check_circle 13W Return ? +20% (2 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
check_circle Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 3.50:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 6 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$36.71

0.2% risk
Potential Upside

+0.7%

R/R: 3.2:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$0.46 (1.3%)
Range: $36.33 - $37.25

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with moderate relative positioning and a developing composite score. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 3.5:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives
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Absolute rating Buy

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Attractive R/C 3.5:1

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.42)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 4

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Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

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Strong accumulation: 1.42x up/down volume

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Near 52-week high: -0.6% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 3.50:1 (Risk 0.2%, Reward 0.7% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 2

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Weak 6m RS: 50th percentile (underperforming)

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Low composite score: 0.492

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$36.79
MA 50
$36.71
0.2%
MA 150
$36.79
0.0%
MA 200
$36.79
0.0%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Dec 10 18:02

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.02 Articles 7d: 3 Latest: +0.07 (1)Peak: +0.07 Dec 10
JPMorgan upgrades Man Group stock to Overweight on AHL strategy recovery - Investing.com Canada
"AHL stock" - Google News Dec 10 12:14 AM +0.10
JPMorgan upgrades Man Group stock to Overweight on AHL strategy recovery Investing.com Canada
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