AIRO - AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 6:01 PMFresh

Price & Trend 11.08 • 52W 7.28 - 22.47

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
Extended Risk
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
20%
15 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+24.3%
3 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-16.1%
12 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 11 signals)
Tends to make large moves (+/-10%+) after signals
Best Signal Type
PocketPivot
8 signals • 38% win rate
Avg gain: +-0.1%
Worst Signal Type
MA50Touch
1 signals • 0% win rate
Avg loss: -18.9%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PocketPivot 38%
8 signals -0.1%
MA200Reclaim 0%
3 signals -16.1%
Breakout 0%
3 signals -17.6%
MA50Touch 0%
1 signals -18.9%
Trading Insights
Lower probability - only 20% win rate. Consider stricter entry criteria.
Favorable risk/reward - winners (24.3%) outpace losers (-16.1%).
Avoid MA50Touch signals - only 0% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±12% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.45)

This stock shows a moderate ±12% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±12% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting upward bias with limited downside troughs and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
12% 2.0 0.45 Moderate ?
1% 0.0 0.00 Weak —
4% 0.0 0.00 Weak —
????????????????????31.07.40999984741210906-1307-1108-0609-0209-2610-2211-1712-1201-07
? Trough ? Peak

This stock shows a moderate ±12% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$11.08
Score U
0.527
RS 6M U
50
RS 3M U
50

Recommendation Summary

Underperform Confidence: 2/10 Performance: B Average R/C: 56.13:1

UNDERPERFORM (Confidence: 2/10) - Generic Momentum Setup | Neutral/Choppy | Average Momentum | R/R 56.13:1 (Risk 4.5%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Neutral/Choppy

Momentum

Average Momentum

Setup Type

Generic Momentum Setup

Absolute Rating

Underperform Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (1 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (0 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (0 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 56.13:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 3 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$10.58

4.5% risk
Potential Upside

+252.6%

R/R: 56.0:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$3.26 (29.4%)
Range: $7.82 - $14.34

Extended Warning

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with moderate relative positioning and a developing composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Huge 20d expected move ±3.26 (29.4% range)) to monitor. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 56.1:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives

Attractive R/C 56.1:1

Negatives / Risks

Huge 20d expected move ±3.26 (29.4% range)

EXTENDED (Hot Hand)

Bullish Factors 3

Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

Strong 1-week gain: +36.0%

Risk/Reward: 56.13:1 (Risk 4.5%, Reward 252.6% )

Bearish Factors 3

Weak 6m RS: 50th percentile (underperforming)

Weak accumulation: 0.77x up/down volume

Far from high: -71.6% off 52-week peak

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$11.08
MA 50
$10.58
4.8%
MA 150
$11.08
0.0%
MA 200
$11.08
0.0%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 18:01

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.04 Articles 7d: 7 Latest: +0.05 (2)Peak: +0.07 Oct 8
Mizuho Issues Pessimistic Forecast for AIRO Group (NASDAQ:AIRO) Stock Price - MarketBeat
"AIRO stock" - Google News Oct 15 5:37 AM +0.10
Mizuho Issues Pessimistic Forecast for AIRO Group (NASDAQ:AIRO) Stock Price MarketBeat
Canada's drone program makes AIRO eligible to compete for military drone work through July 2031. - Stock Titan
"AIRO stock" - Google News Oct 15 4:00 AM 0.00
Canada's drone program makes AIRO eligible to compete for military drone work through July 2031. Stock Titan
The market for AI-powered defense systems is forecast to reach $34 billion by 2030. - Stock Titan
"AIRO stock" - Google News Oct 14 7:12 AM 0.00
The market for AI-powered defense systems is forecast to reach $34 billion by 2030. Stock Titan
}

StockCheck v1.0.0

Copyright © 2026 BoccaSoft