AMGN - Stock Analysis

show_chart Price & Trend 341.38 • 52W 261.43 - 346.38

Volume

Close

EMA9

MA50

MA150

MA200

Breakout

MA200 Reclaim

MA50 Touch

Pocket Pivot

PB Bounce

EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 61% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate

61%

120 total signals

Avg Gain on Winners

+4.8%

73 wins

Avg Loss on Losers

-4.4%

47 losses

Recurring Behaviors

Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 11 signals in a row)

Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 10 signals)

Pullbacks outperform breakouts (84% vs 56% win rate)

Best Signal Type

MA50Touch

15 signals • 87% win rate

Avg gain: +5.2%

Worst Signal Type

MA200Reclaim

16 signals • 44% win rate

Avg loss: -1.7%

All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)

MA50Touch 87%

15 signals +5.2%

PullbackBounce 81%

16 signals +3.4%

Breakout 56%

18 signals +0.4%

PocketPivot 55%

55 signals +0.6%

MA200Reclaim 44%

16 signals -1.7%

Trading Insights

Focus on MA50Touch signals - 87% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.54)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±5% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting upward bias with limited downside troughs and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing	Avg Days	Strength	Pattern?
5%	2.0	0.54 Moderate	?
4%	2.0	0.34 Moderate	?
3%	2.0	0.33 Moderate	?

? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price

$341.38

Score U

0.681

RS 6M U

71

RS 3M U

84

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.33:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Strong Momentum (Sustained) | R/R 0.33:1 (Risk 4.5%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Strong Momentum (Sustained)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

grade Absolute Rating

Hold Standalone Technical Quality

check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)

cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)

cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)

check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)

check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)

cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)

cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.33:1) (0 points)

Total Points: 4 out of 9

Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$325.89

4.5% risk

Potential Upside

+1.5%

R/R: 0.3:1

Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)

±$27.71 (8.1%)

Range: $313.67 - $369.09

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.3:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

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Strong relative strength (RS6M 71, RS3M 84)

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.66)

Negatives / Risks

No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 10

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Strong 6m RS: 71th percentile

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Elite 3m RS: 84th percentile (top 16%)

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Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Strong accumulation: 1.66x up/down volume

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Tight base: 33th percentile ATR (low volatility)

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Strong 1-week gain: +3.9%

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Near 52-week high: -1.4% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 0.33:1 (Risk 4.5%, Reward 1.5% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

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Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price

$341.38

MA 50

$325.89

4.8%

MA 150

$302.30

12.9%

MA 200

$297.99

14.6%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Mar 22 14:41

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day

Negative day

Neutral

Sentiment

7d Avg

Avg 7d: +0.08 Articles 7d: 37 Latest: +0.07 (1)Peak: +0.15 Mar 19

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