ARX - Accelerant Holdings

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-08-31
Last updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 1:04 AMFresh

Price & Trend 15.85 • 52W 11.20 - 21.68

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
56%
9 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+8.2%
5 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-19.7%
4 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 5 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 3 signals)
Pullbacks outperform breakouts (100% vs 50% win rate)
Best Signal Type
PullbackBounce
1 signals • 100% win rate
Avg gain: +7.2%
Worst Signal Type
PocketPivot
6 signals • 50% win rate
Avg loss: -7.2%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PullbackBounce 100%
1 signals +7.2%
Breakout 50%
2 signals -0.9%
PocketPivot 50%
6 signals -7.2%
Trading Insights
Caution: Avg loss (-19.7%) exceeds avg win (8.2%).
Focus on PullbackBounce signals - 100% win rate.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$15.85
Score U
0.563
RS 6M U
50
RS 3M U
50

Recommendation Summary

Underperform Confidence: 1/10 Performance: B Average R/C: 12.10:1

UNDERPERFORM (Confidence: 1/10) - Generic Momentum Setup | Neutral/Choppy | Average Momentum | R/R 12.10:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Neutral/Choppy

Momentum

Average Momentum

Setup Type

Generic Momentum Setup

Absolute Rating

Underperform Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (1 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (0 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 12.10:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 3 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$14.58

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+96.8%

R/R: 12.1:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$3.02 (19.1%)
Range: $12.82 - $18.87

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with moderate relative positioning and a developing composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Wide 20d expected move ±3.02 (19.1%)) to monitor. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 12.1:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives

Attractive R/C 12.1:1

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.13)

Negatives / Risks

Wide 20d expected move ±3.02 (19.1%)

Bullish Factors 2

Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

Risk/Reward: 12.10:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 96.8% )

Bearish Factors 3

Weak 6m RS: 50th percentile (underperforming)

Far from high: -49.2% off 52-week peak

Recent weakness: -3.4% in 1 week

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$15.85
MA 50
$14.34
10.5%
MA 150
$15.85
0.0%
MA 200
$15.85
0.0%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Aug 31 01:04

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.06 Articles 7d: 6 Latest: +0.07 (1)Peak: +0.14 Aug 21
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