ASML - ASML Holding N.V.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2025-12-10
us_universe.csv
Last updated: Dec 10, 2025 at 6:02 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 1016.40 • 52W 578.51 - 1086.11

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

info
info

Moderate pattern consistency: 60% win rate.

Signal Success Rate
60%
117 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+8.0%
70 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-5.9%
47 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 30 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 11 signals)
Best Signal Type
Breakout
24 signals • 71% win rate
Avg gain: +4.0%
Worst Signal Type
MA50Touch
9 signals • 44% win rate
Avg loss: 3.5%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
Breakout 71%
24 signals +4.0%
PullbackBounce 65%
17 signals +1.7%
MA200Reclaim 59%
17 signals +0.6%
PocketPivot 56%
50 signals +2.3%
MA50Touch 44%
9 signals +3.5%
Trading Insights
lightbulb Focus on Breakout signals - 71% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.30)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±6% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

Swing activity (±6% over ~2.0 days) is present but weak — slight downward bias (more troughs than peaks); pattern confidence is low.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 2.0 0.30 Weak+ ?
???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????1098.949951171875595.369995117187504-1506-2609-0611-1501-3104-1406-2609-0811-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±6% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$1016.40
Score U
0.761
RS 6M U
92
RS 3M U
97

description Recommendation Summary

Strong Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 1.97:1

STRONG BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Shallow Pullback (High Probability) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 1.97:1 (Risk 3.5%) | BUY

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Shallow Pullback (High Probability)

grade Absolute Rating

Strong Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
check_circle 13W Return ? +20% (2 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
check_circle Within 5%-25% of 52W High (1 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 1.97:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 7 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$980.41

3.5% risk
Potential Upside

+6.9%

R/R: 1.9:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$109.09 (10.7%)
Range: $907.31 - $1125.49

insights What It Means

This is acting like a leadership quality name with elite relative strength and structural trend integrity. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +28%) to monitor. Risk/Reward moderate (~2.0:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
check_circle

Relative Strength elite (RS6M 92, RS3M 97)

check_circle

High composite score 0.761

check_circle

Absolute rating Strong Buy

check_circle

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

check_circle

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.70)

Negatives / Risks
warning

Stretched above MA200 +28%

thumb_up Bullish Factors 8

check_circle

Elite 6m RS: 92th percentile (top 8%)

check_circle

Elite 3m RS: 97th percentile (top 3%)

check_circle

Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

check_circle

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

check_circle

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

check_circle

Strong accumulation: 1.70x up/down volume

check_circle

Near 52-week high: -6.4% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 1.97:1 (Risk 3.5%, Reward 6.9% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 0

info

No bearish factors identified

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$1016.40
MA 50
$980.41
3.7%
MA 150
$819.01
24.1%
MA 200
$791.65
28.4%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Dec 10 18:02

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.03 Articles 7d: 41 Latest: 0.00 (4)Peak: +0.10 Dec 7
Nieuwsuus China Export Report Could Be A Game Changer For ASML Holding (ENXTAM:ASML) - simplywall.st
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 10 3:35 PM 0.00
Nieuwsuus China Export Report Could Be A Game Changer For ASML Holding (ENXTAM:ASML) simplywall.st
Earnings live: GameStop stock slides, Chewy fluctuates, with Oracle's closely watched results on deck - Yahoo Finance
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 10 1:33 PM -0.10
Earnings live: GameStop stock slides, Chewy fluctuates, with Oracle's closely watched results on deck Yahoo Finance
Navigating Geopolitical Crosscurrents: The ASML Investment Dilemma - AD HOC NEWS
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 10 7:44 AM 0.00
Navigating Geopolitical Crosscurrents: The ASML Investment Dilemma AD HOC NEWS
Is ASML Still Attractive After a 144.9% Five Year Surge and Premium Valuation? - simplywall.st
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 10 3:49 AM +0.10
Is ASML Still Attractive After a 144.9% Five Year Surge and Premium Valuation? simplywall.st
ASML Responds To Report On Tech Sales To China-Linked Groups - Finimize
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 12:30 PM 0.00
ASML Responds To Report On Tech Sales To China-Linked Groups Finimize
This growth stock continues to crush the market - MSN
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 12:09 PM +0.10
This growth stock continues to crush the market MSN
Prediction: These 3 Tech Leaders Will Enact Stock Splits Next Year - Yahoo Finance
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 11:31 AM 0.00
Prediction: These 3 Tech Leaders Will Enact Stock Splits Next Year Yahoo Finance
Prediction: These 3 Tech Leaders Will Enact Stock Splits Next Year - The Motley Fool
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 11:11 AM 0.00
Prediction: These 3 Tech Leaders Will Enact Stock Splits Next Year The Motley Fool
ASML Stock Slips as Shock Report Flags Customer Ties to Chinese Military - GuruFocus
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 11:08 AM 0.00
ASML Stock Slips as Shock Report Flags Customer Ties to Chinese Military GuruFocus
ASML Stock Slips as Shock Report Flags Customer Ties to Chinese Military - Yahoo Finance
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 9:15 AM 0.00
ASML Stock Slips as Shock Report Flags Customer Ties to Chinese Military Yahoo Finance
ASML drops amid report that at least one customer has links to Chinese military (ASML:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 6:41 AM -0.20
ASML drops amid report that at least one customer has links to Chinese military (ASML:NASDAQ) Seeking Alpha
Investor Optimism Around AI Boosted ASML (ASML) in Q3 - Insider Monkey
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 4:47 AM 0.00
Investor Optimism Around AI Boosted ASML (ASML) in Q3 Insider Monkey
ASML vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Powerhouse Offers More Upside? - Yahoo Finance
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 4:35 AM 0.00
ASML vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Powerhouse Offers More Upside? Yahoo Finance
ASML vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Powerhouse Offers More Upside? - Zacks Investment Research
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 4:00 AM 0.00
ASML vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Powerhouse Offers More Upside? Zacks Investment Research
Prediction: These 3 Tech Leaders Will Enact Stock Splits Next Year
ASML stock - BingNews Dec 09 3:28 AM +0.10
The company is seeing strong momentum with its next-generation solutions, and customers continue to add new modules. In the third quarter, nearly half of its customers were using six or more of its ...
Is ASML Stock a Buying Opportunity for 2026? - Nasdaq
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 2:53 AM 0.00
Is ASML Stock a Buying Opportunity for 2026? Nasdaq
Is ASML Stock a Buying Opportunity for 2026? - The Motley Fool
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 2:33 AM 0.00
Is ASML Stock a Buying Opportunity for 2026? The Motley Fool
ASML Stock Slips as Shock Report Flags Customer Ties to Chinese Military
ASML stock - BingNews Dec 09 1:51 AM 0.00
Is ASML fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. An ASML spokesperson told reporters the company ex ...
ASML's China Dealings Stir Tension After Military Link Report - ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML) - Benzinga
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 09 1:32 AM 0.00
ASML's China Dealings Stir Tension After Military Link Report - ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML) Benzinga
2 Potential Stock Splits to Watch for in 2026 - Yahoo Finance
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 08 9:37 PM 0.00
2 Potential Stock Splits to Watch for in 2026 Yahoo Finance
2 Potential Stock Splits to Watch for in 2026 - The Motley Fool
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 08 9:17 PM 0.00
2 Potential Stock Splits to Watch for in 2026 The Motley Fool
ASML's China Dealings Stir Tension After Military Link Report
ASML stock - BingNews Dec 08 4:31 PM 0.00
China remained ASML’s largest market in 2024, accounting for 36% of sales, or roughly 10 billion euros ($11.6 billion). The $437 billion ASML stock gained 62% year-to-date, topping the PHLX ...
ASML Stock Emerges as a Leading Investment Choice for 2026 - AD HOC NEWS
"ASML stock" - Google News Dec 07 11:49 PM 0.00
ASML Stock Emerges as a Leading Investment Choice for 2026 AD HOC NEWS
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