CAT - Caterpillar Inc.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-08-31
Last updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 1:02 AMFresh

Price & Trend 920.22 • 52W 410.52 - 931.35

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
Extended Risk
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
64%
148 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+6.5%
95 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.9%
53 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 19 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 11 signals)
Best Signal Type
MA50Touch
28 signals • 79% win rate
Avg gain: +4.3%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
16 signals • 44% win rate
Avg loss: 1.4%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA50Touch 79%
28 signals +4.3%
PullbackBounce 67%
18 signals +3.6%
Breakout 64%
22 signals +1.9%
PocketPivot 62%
64 signals +2.5%
MA200Reclaim 44%
16 signals +1.4%
Trading Insights
Favorable risk/reward - winners (6.5%) outpace losers (-3.9%).
Focus on MA50Touch signals - 79% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~20.0 days (strength 0.42)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 20.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±6% swing about every ~20.0 days, suggesting upward bias with limited downside troughs and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 20.0 0.42 Moderate ?
5% 2.0 0.36 Moderate ?
3% 2.0 0.31 Moderate ?
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 20.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$920.22
Score U
0.679
RS 6M U
95
RS 3M U
87

Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.15:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Breakout Candidate | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 0.15:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

Absolute Rating

Strong Buy Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
13W Return ? +20% (2 points)
4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.15:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 7 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$846.60

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+1.2%

R/R: 0.1:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$125.02 (13.6%)
Range: $795.20 - $1045.24

Extended Warning

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. However, risk is elevated: +50% above MA200. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 95, RS3M 87)

Absolute rating Strong Buy

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.28)

Negatives / Risks

Extended from MA200 +50% (risk of mean reversion)

EXTENDED (Far from MA200)

Bullish Factors 7

Elite 6m RS: 95th percentile (top 5%)

Elite 3m RS: 87th percentile (top 13%)

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

Good accumulation: 1.28x up/down volume

Near 52-week high: -1.2% off peak

Risk/Reward: 0.15:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 1.2% )

Bearish Factors 1

Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$920.22
MA 50
$778.49
18.2%
MA 150
$670.03
37.3%
MA 200
$612.77
50.2%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Aug 31 01:02

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.02 Articles 7d: 31 Latest: 0.00 (2)Peak: +0.16 Aug 23
How AI Power Demand Transformed Caterpillar (CAT) into a High-Multiple Tech Play - Yahoo Finance
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 30 10:35 AM 0.00
How AI Power Demand Transformed Caterpillar (CAT) into a High-Multiple Tech Play Yahoo Finance
Caterpillar (CAT) Following Its Power Expansion And Dividend Raise Looks Undervalued - simplywall.st
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 29 7:42 PM 0.00
Caterpillar (CAT) Following Its Power Expansion And Dividend Raise Looks Undervalued simplywall.st
Caterpillar's Power Generation Business Is Nearly as Big as Its Construction Segment. Here's What That Shift Means for the Stock's Multiple - The Globe and Mail
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 29 6:52 AM 0.00
Caterpillar's Power Generation Business Is Nearly as Big as Its Construction Segment. Here's What That Shift Means for the Stock's Multiple The Globe and Mail
Caterpillar's power generation business is nearly as big as its construction segment. Here's what that shift means for the stock's multiple
CAT stock - BingNews Aug 29 12:30 AM 0.00
It's not a construction equipment name that also offers power-generation solutions anymore. Now it's a power-production business that also sells construction equipment, and is priced like it in the ...
CAT|Caterpillar Inc|Price:800.250|Chg%:-16.750 - TradingKey
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 9:55 PM 0.00
CAT|Caterpillar Inc|Price:800.250|Chg%:-16.750 TradingKey
RCAT Stock Sinks Overnight On Steeply Discounted Share Sale - Stocktwits
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 8:12 PM 0.00
RCAT Stock Sinks Overnight On Steeply Discounted Share Sale Stocktwits
Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) exec plans August 2026 stock sale - Stock Titan
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 1:42 PM 0.00
Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) exec plans August 2026 stock sale Stock Titan
Is Caterpillar Stock Relying on an Artificial Demand Story? - Trefis
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 10:17 AM 0.00
Is Caterpillar Stock Relying on an Artificial Demand Story? Trefis
Drone Stocks Drop While Broad Market Rises: Unusual Machines Sinks 9%, Ondas Falls 6%, Red Cat Slides 5% - 24/7 Wall St.
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 8:41 AM -0.30
Drone Stocks Drop While Broad Market Rises: Unusual Machines Sinks 9%, Ondas Falls 6%, Red Cat Slides 5% 24/7 Wall St.
The Two Very Different Destinations Priced Into Caterpillar Stock - Trefis
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 7:26 AM 0.00
The Two Very Different Destinations Priced Into Caterpillar Stock Trefis
CAT 260828 580.00P (CAT260828P580000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News - Moomoo
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 28 6:30 AM 0.00
CAT 260828 580.00P (CAT260828P580000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News Moomoo
Caterpillar (CAT)’s Dividend Case Is Stronger in 2026, But the Yield is Holding it Back - Yahoo Finance
"CAT stock" - Google News Aug 27 5:19 PM +0.10
Caterpillar (CAT)’s Dividend Case Is Stronger in 2026, But the Yield is Holding it Back Yahoo Finance
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