CMI - Cummins Inc.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-05-07
Last updated: May 07, 2026 at 6:00 AMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 539.26 • 52W 296.59 - 547.43

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 74% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
74%
159 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.5%
117 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.6%
42 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 24 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 8 signals)
Best Signal Type
MA50Touch
18 signals • 89% win rate
Avg gain: +3.6%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
5 signals • 40% win rate
Avg loss: -3.0%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA50Touch 89%
18 signals +3.6%
PullbackBounce 79%
19 signals +1.9%
Breakout 77%
43 signals +2.4%
PocketPivot 69%
74 signals +1.9%
MA200Reclaim 40%
5 signals -3.0%
Trading Insights
lightbulb High probability setup - 74% of signals profitable over 10 days.
lightbulb Caution: Avg loss (-4.6%) exceeds avg win (4.5%).
lightbulb Focus on MA50Touch signals - 89% win rate.
lightbulb Avoid MA200Reclaim signals - only 40% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.50)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±6% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting upward bias with limited downside troughs and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 2.0 0.50 Moderate ?
5% 2.0 0.42 Moderate ?
0% 0.0 0.00 Weak
???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????546.760009765625266.480010986328106-0408-1510-2501-0803-2406-0408-1510-2701-07
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$539.26
Score U
0.716
RS 6M U
97
RS 3M U
92

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 0.19:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Breakout Candidate | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

grade Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
check_circle 13W Return ? +20% (2 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.19:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 6 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$496.12

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+1.5%

R/R: 0.2:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$50.80 (9.4%)
Range: $488.46 - $590.06

insights What It Means

This is acting like a leadership quality name with elite relative strength and structural trend integrity. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +39%) to monitor. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
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Relative Strength elite (RS6M 97, RS3M 92)

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High composite score 0.716

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Absolute rating Buy

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.55)

Negatives / Risks
warning

Stretched above MA200 +39%

thumb_up Bullish Factors 8

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Elite 6m RS: 97th percentile (top 3%)

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Elite 3m RS: 92th percentile (top 8%)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Strong accumulation: 1.55x up/down volume

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Strong 1-week gain: +5.0%

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Near 52-week high: -1.5% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 1.5% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

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Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$539.26
MA 50
$489.05
10.3%
MA 150
$415.91
29.7%
MA 200
$388.63
38.8%

News & Sentiment

Last updated May 07 06:00

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.13 Articles 7d: 37 Latest: +0.11 (2)Peak: +0.19 May 6
Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. Acquires 12,728 Shares of Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 07 3:37 AM +0.10
Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. Acquires 12,728 Shares of Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Swedbank AB Boosts Position in Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 07 3:37 AM +0.10
Swedbank AB Boosts Position in Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Stock Price Expected to Rise, JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analyst Says - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 06 2:20 PM +0.10
Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Stock Price Expected to Rise, JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analyst Says MarketBeat
How The Cummins (CMI) Investment Story Is Shifting As Analysts Rework Targets And Assumptions - Yahoo Finance
"CMI stock" - Google News May 06 8:20 AM 0.00
How The Cummins (CMI) Investment Story Is Shifting As Analysts Rework Targets And Assumptions Yahoo Finance
Wells Fargo & Company Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Stock - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 06 7:59 AM +0.20
Wells Fargo & Company Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Stock MarketBeat
How The Cummins (CMI) Investment Story Is Shifting As Analysts Rework Targets And Assumptions
CMI stock - BingNews May 06 4:52 AM 0.00
Cummins is back in focus as fresh research work feeds into a higher modeled fair value of US$643.36 per share, up from US$631.40. That move sits alongside a cluster of price target changes that ...
Cummins Inc. $CMI Stake Boosted by Truist Financial Corp - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 06 3:09 AM +0.10
Cummins Inc. $CMI Stake Boosted by Truist Financial Corp MarketBeat
CMI Q1 Deep Dive: Data Center Demand and Segment Shifts Drive Mixed Margins - StockStory
"CMI stock" - Google News May 06 2:07 AM 0.00
CMI Q1 Deep Dive: Data Center Demand and Segment Shifts Drive Mixed Margins StockStory
3 Cash-Producing Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar - StockStory
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 10:47 PM 0.00
3 Cash-Producing Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar StockStory
Cummins (CMI) Margin Compression Tests Bullish Growth Narratives Heading Into Q1 2026 - simplywall.st
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 7:57 PM +0.30
Cummins (CMI) Margin Compression Tests Bullish Growth Narratives Heading Into Q1 2026 simplywall.st
Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Releases Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.55 EPS - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 11:01 AM +0.20
Cummins (NYSE:CMI) Releases Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.55 EPS MarketBeat
Cummins (CMI) Q1 2026: power growth offsets truck weakness but profit falls - Stock Titan
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 9:20 AM -0.10
Cummins (CMI) Q1 2026: power growth offsets truck weakness but profit falls Stock Titan
Cummins (CMI) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 6:30 AM 0.00
Cummins (CMI) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say Yahoo! Finance Canada
Cummins Inc. $CMI Shares Sold by Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 5:42 AM +0.10
Cummins Inc. $CMI Shares Sold by Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co MarketBeat
Cummins’s (NYSE:CMI) Q1 CY2026 Sales Top Estimates - StockStory
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 5:20 AM 0.00
Cummins’s (NYSE:CMI) Q1 CY2026 Sales Top Estimates StockStory
CUMMINS ($CMI) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 4:55 AM 0.00
CUMMINS ($CMI) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings Quiver Quantitative
Cummins lifts 2026 forecast as data center power demand outpaces expectations - Stock Titan
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 4:33 AM 0.00
Cummins lifts 2026 forecast as data center power demand outpaces expectations Stock Titan
QRG Capital Management Inc. Acquires 30,775 Shares of Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 3:57 AM +0.10
QRG Capital Management Inc. Acquires 30,775 Shares of Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Principal Financial Group Inc. Decreases Stock Holdings in Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 3:57 AM +0.10
Principal Financial Group Inc. Decreases Stock Holdings in Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Cummins (CMI) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
CMI stock - BingNews May 05 2:48 AM +0.10
Cummins (CMI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +9.79% and +0.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Fulcrum Wealth Advisors LLC Purchases Shares of 8,749 Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 05 1:34 AM +0.10
Fulcrum Wealth Advisors LLC Purchases Shares of 8,749 Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Cummins (CMI) reports Q1 earnings: What key metrics have to say
CMI stock - BingNews May 04 11:30 PM 0.00
Cummins (CMI) reported $8.4 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.7%. EPS of $6.15 for the same period compares to $5.96 a year ago. The ...
Assessing Cummins (CMI) Valuation As Record Profitability Meets Truck Market Concerns And Richer Multiples - simplywall.st
"CMI stock" - Google News May 04 5:37 PM +0.20
Assessing Cummins (CMI) Valuation As Record Profitability Meets Truck Market Concerns And Richer Multiples simplywall.st
B.O.S.S. Retirement Advisors LLC Buys Shares of 1,558 Cummins Inc. $CMI - MarketBeat
"CMI stock" - Google News May 04 12:40 AM +0.10
B.O.S.S. Retirement Advisors LLC Buys Shares of 1,558 Cummins Inc. $CMI MarketBeat
Cummins Earnings: What To Look For From CMI - StockStory
"CMI stock" - Google News May 03 10:06 PM 0.00
Cummins Earnings: What To Look For From CMI StockStory
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