COF - Capital One Financial Corporation

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-05-07
Last updated: May 07, 2026 at 5:59 AMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 255.04 • 52W 183.38 - 259.64

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 72% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
72%
145 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+5.3%
104 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.7%
41 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 20 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 6 signals)
Best Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
7 signals • 100% win rate
Avg gain: +7.4%
Worst Signal Type
PocketPivot
75 signals • 68% win rate
Avg loss: 2.2%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA200Reclaim 100%
7 signals +7.4%
PullbackBounce 78%
18 signals +2.4%
Breakout 73%
26 signals +3.5%
MA50Touch 68%
19 signals +0.5%
PocketPivot 68%
75 signals +2.2%
Trading Insights
lightbulb High probability setup - 72% of signals profitable over 10 days.
lightbulb Focus on MA200Reclaim signals - 100% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.57)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±5% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting balanced cycle behavior and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.57 Moderate ?
6% 2.0 0.41 Moderate ?
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±5% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$255.04
Score U
0.697
RS 6M U
75
RS 3M U
88

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.22:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Strong Momentum (Sustained) | R/R 0.22:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Strong Momentum (Sustained)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

grade Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
check_circle 4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.22:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 5 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$234.63

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+1.8%

R/R: 0.2:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$21.47 (8.4%)
Range: $233.57 - $276.51

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
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Strong relative strength (RS6M 75, RS3M 88)

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Absolute rating Buy

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.76)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 10

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Strong 6m RS: 75th percentile

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Elite 3m RS: 88th percentile (top 12%)

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Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Strong accumulation: 1.76x up/down volume

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Tight base: 40th percentile ATR (low volatility)

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Strong 1-week gain: +4.5%

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Near 52-week high: -1.8% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 0.22:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 1.8% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

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Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$255.04
MA 50
$228.31
11.7%
MA 150
$219.21
16.3%
MA 200
$209.56
21.7%

News & Sentiment

Last updated May 07 05:59

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.07 Articles 7d: 20 Latest: +0.11 (2)Peak: +0.11 May 7
Swedbank AB Purchases 10,665 Shares of Capital One Financial Corporation $COF - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 07 3:57 AM +0.10
Swedbank AB Purchases 10,665 Shares of Capital One Financial Corporation $COF MarketBeat
RFG Advisory LLC Grows Stock Holdings in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 07 3:57 AM +0.10
RFG Advisory LLC Grows Stock Holdings in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF MarketBeat
Capital One’s Big Bet Faces Rising Credit Risk - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 06 10:49 AM +0.10
Capital One’s Big Bet Faces Rising Credit Risk MarketBeat
Does Capital One’s US$425 Million Savings Settlement Reshape Customer Trust And Returns Narrative For COF? - simplywall.st
"COF stock" - Google News May 06 8:50 AM 0.00
Does Capital One’s US$425 Million Savings Settlement Reshape Customer Trust And Returns Narrative For COF? simplywall.st
Capital One Stock Is Down 23% in 2026. Here’s What the Model Shows After the Discover Acquisition - TIKR.com
"COF stock" - Google News May 06 8:04 AM 0.00
Capital One Stock Is Down 23% in 2026. Here’s What the Model Shows After the Discover Acquisition TIKR.com
Capital One Financial Corporation $COF Shares Purchased by Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 06 4:13 AM +0.10
Capital One Financial Corporation $COF Shares Purchased by Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. MarketBeat
Adirondack Capital Advisors LLC Takes $1.82 Million Position in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 05 12:32 AM +0.10
Adirondack Capital Advisors LLC Takes $1.82 Million Position in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF MarketBeat
Capital One (NYSE: COF) retail bank president sells 1,749 shares under 10b5-1 plan - Stock Titan
"COF stock" - Google News May 04 1:55 PM 0.00
Capital One (NYSE: COF) retail bank president sells 1,749 shares under 10b5-1 plan Stock Titan
Capital One Financial Corporation $COF Shares Bought by Truist Financial Corp - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 04 4:38 AM +0.10
Capital One Financial Corporation $COF Shares Bought by Truist Financial Corp MarketBeat
FSA Advisors Inc. Acquires New Stake in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF - MarketBeat
"COF stock" - Google News May 04 1:38 AM +0.10
FSA Advisors Inc. Acquires New Stake in Capital One Financial Corporation $COF MarketBeat
COF Stock Price, Quote & Chart | CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (NYSE:COF) - ChartMill
"COF stock" - Google News May 04 12:00 AM 0.00
COF Stock Price, Quote & Chart | CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (NYSE:COF) ChartMill
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