FDX - FedEx Corporation

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 5:58 PMFresh

Price & Trend 379.98 • 52W 233.00 - 404.03

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
56%
133 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.8%
75 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.0%
58 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 18 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 19 signals)
Breakouts outperform pullbacks (70% vs 44% win rate)
Best Signal Type
Breakout
23 signals • 70% win rate
Avg gain: +2.2%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
12 signals • 33% win rate
Avg loss: -0.7%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
Breakout 70%
23 signals +2.2%
PocketPivot 66%
53 signals +1.4%
PullbackBounce 50%
22 signals 0.0%
MA50Touch 39%
23 signals +0.5%
MA200Reclaim 33%
12 signals -0.7%
Trading Insights
Avoid MA200Reclaim signals - only 33% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.29)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±5% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

Swing activity (±5% over ~2.0 days) is present but weak — slight downward bias (more troughs than peaks); pattern confidence is low.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.29 Weak+ ?
??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????403.30999755859375198.0700073242187510-0912-1903-0605-1607-3010-0912-1903-0505-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±5% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$379.98
Score U
0.605
RS 6M U
90
RS 3M U
62

Recommendation Summary

Hold Confidence: 9/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 2.25:1

HOLD (Confidence: 9/10) - Generic Momentum Setup | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Above-Average Momentum | R/R 2.25:1 (Risk 2.8%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Above-Average Momentum

Setup Type

Generic Momentum Setup

Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (1 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 2.25:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 6 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$369.46

2.8% risk
Potential Upside

+6.3%

R/R: 2.3:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$51.43 (13.5%)
Range: $328.55 - $431.41

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +27%) to monitor. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 2.3:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 90, RS3M 62)

Absolute rating Buy

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

Attractive R/C 2.3:1

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.14)

Negatives / Risks

Stretched above MA200 +27%

Bullish Factors 5

Elite 6m RS: 90th percentile (top 10%)

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

Near 52-week high: -6.0% off peak

Risk/Reward: 2.25:1 (Risk 2.8%, Reward 6.3% )

Bearish Factors 1

Decelerating momentum (3m RS << 6m RS)

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$379.98
MA 50
$369.46
2.8%
MA 150
$321.63
18.1%
MA 200
$298.78
27.2%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 17:58

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: -0.06 Articles 7d: 8 Latest: 0.00 (1)Peak: -0.21 Oct 9
Fedex Corp
FDX stock - BingNews Oct 14 2:32 PM 0.00
Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects FDX could trade at an average price of $490.64, with a potential range between $367.98 and $613.30. This represents a potential 68.8% return from today’s ...
JPMorgan cuts target for FedEx stock to USD 399.00 - ad-hoc-news.de
"FDX stock" - Google News Oct 13 7:51 AM -0.20
JPMorgan cuts target for FedEx stock to USD 399.00 ad-hoc-news.de
ETFs Are Net Sellers of FedEx (FDX) on Oct. 9 - GuruFocus
"FDX stock" - Google News Oct 13 4:46 AM 0.00
ETFs Are Net Sellers of FedEx (FDX) on Oct. 9 GuruFocus
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