FDX - FedEx Corporation

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-06-19
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 at 1:04 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 379.98 • 52W 216.10 - 404.03

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

info
info

Moderate pattern consistency: 56% win rate.

Signal Success Rate
56%
133 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.8%
75 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.0%
58 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 18 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 19 signals)
rocket_launch Breakouts outperform pullbacks (70% vs 44% win rate)
Best Signal Type
Breakout
23 signals • 70% win rate
Avg gain: +2.2%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
12 signals • 33% win rate
Avg loss: -0.7%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
Breakout 70%
23 signals +2.2%
PocketPivot 66%
53 signals +1.4%
PullbackBounce 50%
22 signals 0.0%
MA50Touch 39%
23 signals +0.5%
MA200Reclaim 33%
12 signals -0.7%
Trading Insights
lightbulb Avoid MA200Reclaim signals - only 33% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±5% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.29)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±5% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

Swing activity (±5% over ~2.0 days) is present but weak — slight downward bias (more troughs than peaks); pattern confidence is low.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
5% 2.0 0.29 Weak+ ?
??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????403.30999755859375198.0700073242187510-0912-1903-0605-1607-3010-0912-1903-0505-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

No consistent swing rhythm detected — observed ±5% fluctuations appear irregular or noise-driven.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$379.98
Score U
0.605
RS 6M U
90
RS 3M U
62

description Recommendation Summary

Hold Confidence: 9/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 2.25:1

HOLD (Confidence: 9/10) - Generic Momentum Setup | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Above-Average Momentum | R/R 2.25:1 (Risk 2.8%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Above-Average Momentum

Setup Type

Generic Momentum Setup

grade Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
check_circle Within 5%-25% of 52W High (1 points)
check_circle Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 2.25:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 6 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$369.46

2.8% risk
Potential Upside

+6.3%

R/R: 2.3:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$51.43 (13.5%)
Range: $328.55 - $431.41

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +27%) to monitor. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 2.3:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives
check_circle

Strong relative strength (RS6M 90, RS3M 62)

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Absolute rating Buy

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Attractive R/C 2.3:1

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.14)

Negatives / Risks
warning

Stretched above MA200 +27%

thumb_up Bullish Factors 5

check_circle

Elite 6m RS: 90th percentile (top 10%)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Near 52-week high: -6.0% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 2.25:1 (Risk 2.8%, Reward 6.3% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

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Decelerating momentum (3m RS << 6m RS)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$379.98
MA 50
$369.46
2.8%
MA 150
$321.63
18.1%
MA 200
$298.78
27.2%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Jun 21 13:04

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: 0.00 Articles 7d: 27 Latest: +0.12 (4)Peak: -0.12 Jun 18
FedEx Corp (FDX)’s Bold Dividend Move Amid a Freight Spin-Off - Insider Monkey
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 21 6:54 AM 0.00
FedEx Corp (FDX)’s Bold Dividend Move Amid a Freight Spin-Off Insider Monkey
FedEx (FDX) Q4 Fiscal 2026 Earnings on June 23rd - What to Expect Following the Freight Spin-Off - TradingKey
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 21 6:05 AM 0.00
FedEx (FDX) Q4 Fiscal 2026 Earnings on June 23rd - What to Expect Following the Freight Spin-Off TradingKey
Top four S&P 500 stocks to watch next week: MU, CCL, FDX, PAYX
FDX stock - BingNews Jun 21 1:01 AM +0.30
The S&P 500 Index has soared by 9% this year, helped by the AI supercycle, elevated energy prices, and strong corporate earnings. The rally faded last week after the hawkish Federal Reserve interest ...
FedEx Corp (FDX)’s Bold Dividend Move Amid a Freight Spin-Off
FDX stock - BingNews Jun 21 12:08 AM 0.00
FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX) is one of the best long-term stocks to invest in according to Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust. The stock has gained more than 43% year-to-date and returned more than 86% ...
FedEx Reports Earnings Tuesday. Is the Delivery Giant a Buy? - The Motley Fool
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 20 2:05 PM 0.00
FedEx Reports Earnings Tuesday. Is the Delivery Giant a Buy? The Motley Fool
FedEx Reports Earnings Tuesday. Is the Delivery Giant a Buy? - Yahoo Finance
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 20 1:25 PM 0.00
FedEx Reports Earnings Tuesday. Is the Delivery Giant a Buy? Yahoo Finance
FedEx (FDX) Stock Could Be 18.8% Undervalued If DRIVE Savings Hold - simplywall.st
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 19 4:33 PM 0.00
FedEx (FDX) Stock Could Be 18.8% Undervalued If DRIVE Savings Hold simplywall.st
3 Things to Watch in the Stock Market Next Week - The Globe and Mail
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 19 3:05 PM 0.00
3 Things to Watch in the Stock Market Next Week The Globe and Mail
FedEx Stock in 2026: Record Peak Revenue, a Flat Operating Margin, and a $370 Question - TIKR.com
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 19 5:05 AM +0.10
FedEx Stock in 2026: Record Peak Revenue, a Flat Operating Margin, and a $370 Question TIKR.com
Bernstein SocGen cuts FedEx stock price target on reporting shift - Investing.com
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 18 2:19 PM -0.20
Bernstein SocGen cuts FedEx stock price target on reporting shift Investing.com
Buyers Push Micron Stock To Nose-Bleed Levels As Earnings Approach; Darden, FedEx Results Also On Tap - Investor's Business Daily
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 18 12:12 PM 0.00
Buyers Push Micron Stock To Nose-Bleed Levels As Earnings Approach; Darden, FedEx Results Also On Tap Investor's Business Daily
Fedex price tries to gather positive momentum - Forecast today - 18-06-2026 - Economies.com
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 18 5:26 AM 0.00
Fedex price tries to gather positive momentum - Forecast today - 18-06-2026 Economies.com
Bear Call Spread Ideas for FedEx Earnings Next Week - Barchart.com
"FDX stock" - Google News Jun 18 4:00 AM -0.10
Bear Call Spread Ideas for FedEx Earnings Next Week Barchart.com
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