MPC - Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Stock Analysis

Data: 2025-12-10
us_universe.csv
Last updated: Dec 10, 2025 at 5:58 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 200.65 • 52W 115.10 - 202.25

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

warning_amber
warning

Inconsistent pattern behavior: Only 43% of signals profitable.

Signal Success Rate
43%
118 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.6%
51 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.3%
67 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 13 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 12 signals)
rocket_launch Breakouts outperform pullbacks (47% vs 25% win rate)
Best Signal Type
PocketPivot
57 signals • 56% win rate
Avg gain: +0.5%
Worst Signal Type
MA50Touch
13 signals • 23% win rate
Avg loss: -2.0%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PocketPivot 56%
57 signals +0.5%
Breakout 47%
15 signals -0.3%
MA200Reclaim 29%
14 signals -1.6%
PullbackBounce 26%
19 signals -1.4%
MA50Touch 23%
13 signals -2.0%
Trading Insights
lightbulb Lower probability - only 43% win rate. Consider stricter entry criteria.
lightbulb Avoid MA50Touch signals - only 23% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±7% every ~11.0 days (strength 0.32)

This stock shows a moderate ±7% swing pattern approximately every 11.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±7% swing about every ~11.0 days, suggesting few confirmed turning points (structure still forming) and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
7% 11.0 0.32 Moderate ?
??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????207.02000427246094118.5500030517578104-1506-2609-0611-1501-3104-1406-2609-0811-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±7% swing pattern approximately every 11.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$200.65
Score U
0.653
RS 6M U
85
RS 3M U
92

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.15:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - High-Momentum Volatile (Growth) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 0.15:1 (Risk 5.5%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

High-Momentum Volatile (Growth)

grade Absolute Rating

Strong Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
check_circle 13W Return ? +20% (2 points)
check_circle 4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.15:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 7 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$189.67

5.5% risk
Potential Upside

+0.8%

R/R: 0.1:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$27.70 (13.8%)
Range: $172.96 - $228.35

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
check_circle

Strong relative strength (RS6M 85, RS3M 92)

check_circle

Absolute rating Strong Buy

check_circle

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

check_circle

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.54)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 9

check_circle

Elite 6m RS: 85th percentile (top 15%)

check_circle

Elite 3m RS: 92th percentile (top 8%)

check_circle

Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

check_circle

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

check_circle

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

check_circle

Strong accumulation: 1.54x up/down volume

check_circle

Strong 1-week gain: +3.6%

check_circle

Near 52-week high: -0.8% off peak

check_circle

Risk/Reward: 0.15:1 (Risk 5.5%, Reward 0.8% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

cancel

Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$200.65
MA 50
$189.67
5.8%
MA 150
$171.26
17.2%
MA 200
$164.58
21.9%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Dec 10 17:58

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.02 Articles 7d: 13 Latest: +0.04 (4)Peak: +0.07 Dec 1
Understanding the Setup: (MPC) and Scalable Risk - news.stocktradersdaily.com
"MPC stock" - Google News Dec 10 12:24 PM 0.00
Understanding the Setup: (MPC) and Scalable Risk news.stocktradersdaily.com
Investors in Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) have seen massive returns of 422% over the past five years - simplywall.st
"MPC stock" - Google News Dec 10 6:16 AM 0.00
Investors in Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) have seen massive returns of 422% over the past five years simplywall.st
Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC Shares Sold by Federated Hermes Inc. - MarketBeat
"MPC stock" - Google News Dec 10 3:19 AM +0.10
Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC Shares Sold by Federated Hermes Inc. MarketBeat
DBS Sticks to Its Buy Rating for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) - The Globe and Mail
"MPC stock" - Google News Dec 10 2:01 AM 0.00
DBS Sticks to Its Buy Rating for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) The Globe and Mail
Is Trending Stock Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) a Buy Now? - Yahoo Finance
"MPC stock" - Google News Dec 09 6:00 AM 0.00
Is Trending Stock Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) a Buy Now? Yahoo Finance
Is trending stock Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) a buy now?
MPC stock - BingNews Dec 08 10:00 PM 0.00
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance ...
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