MS - Morgan Stanley

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 5:58 PMFresh

Price & Trend 194.53 • 52W 152.80 - 197.50

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
63%
127 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+5.3%
80 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.2%
47 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 13 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 9 signals)
Pullbacks outperform breakouts (76% vs 54% win rate)
Best Signal Type
MA50Touch
13 signals • 77% win rate
Avg gain: +2.8%
Worst Signal Type
Breakout
24 signals • 54% win rate
Avg loss: 0.5%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA50Touch 77%
13 signals +2.8%
PullbackBounce 75%
16 signals +3.3%
MA200Reclaim 62%
8 signals +2.7%
PocketPivot 61%
66 signals +2.2%
Breakout 54%
24 signals +0.5%
Trading Insights
Favorable risk/reward - winners (5.3%) outpace losers (-3.2%).
Focus on MA50Touch signals - 77% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.58)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±6% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting balanced cycle behavior and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 2.0 0.58 Moderate ?
4% 2.0 0.35 Moderate ?
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$194.53
Score U
0.735
RS 6M U
71
RS 3M U
82

Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 0.19:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Strong Momentum (Sustained) | R/R 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Strong Momentum (Sustained)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

Absolute Rating

Hold Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.19:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 4 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$178.97

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+1.5%

R/R: 0.2:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$18.58 (9.6%)
Range: $175.95 - $213.11

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 71, RS3M 82)

High composite score 0.735

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.86)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

Bullish Factors 9

Strong 6m RS: 71th percentile

Elite 3m RS: 82th percentile (top 18%)

Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

Strong accumulation: 1.86x up/down volume

Tight base: 14th percentile ATR (low volatility)

Near 52-week high: -1.5% off peak

Risk/Reward: 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 1.5% )

Bearish Factors 1

Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$194.53
MA 50
$175.99
10.5%
MA 150
$173.66
12.0%
MA 200
$167.99
15.8%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 17:58

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.01 Articles 7d: 41 Latest: 0.00 (3)Peak: +0.04 Oct 14
Morgan Stanley Analysts Cut Their Forecasts After Q3 Results - Benzinga
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 15 8:20 AM -0.10
Morgan Stanley Analysts Cut Their Forecasts After Q3 Results Benzinga
Why Wall Street Is Comfortable With Microsoft Stock Even as AI Trade Pressured - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 15 8:03 AM 0.00
Why Wall Street Is Comfortable With Microsoft Stock Even as AI Trade Pressured Barron's
Microsoft stock heads into earnings with Azure growth, Copilot momentum in focus
MS stock - BingNews Oct 15 2:59 AM +0.10
Microsoft Corp. MSFT is heading into fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings with investors focused on Azure growth, Copilot adoption, AI infrastructure expansion and whether its next phase of monetization ...
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock forecasts - Yahoo Finance UK
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 4:44 PM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock forecasts Yahoo Finance UK
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Falls As Strong Flows Meet Durability Doubts - Simply Wall Street
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 4:15 PM -0.10
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Falls As Strong Flows Meet Durability Doubts Simply Wall Street
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Looks Fairly Valued With Strong Returns On Equity - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 2:15 PM +0.10
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Looks Fairly Valued With Strong Returns On Equity Yahoo Finance
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) stock price forecast: Analysts see 22% upside after Q3 earnings - Beinsure
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 1:18 PM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) stock price forecast: Analysts see 22% upside after Q3 earnings Beinsure
If You Invested $100 In Morgan Stanley Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today - Benzinga
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 1:00 PM 0.00
If You Invested $100 In Morgan Stanley Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today Benzinga
Bank of America Stock Slumps After Revenue Miss, $1.2B Treasury Fine - Investopedia
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 7:22 AM -0.20
Bank of America Stock Slumps After Revenue Miss, $1.2B Treasury Fine Investopedia
Morgan Stanley Stock (MS) Moved Down by 3.23% on Oct 14: Facts Behind the Movement - TradingKey
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 7:15 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley Stock (MS) Moved Down by 3.23% on Oct 14: Facts Behind the Movement TradingKey
Morgan Stanley (MS:CT): Stock Price, Quote and News - BNN Bloomberg
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 6:38 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (MS:CT): Stock Price, Quote and News BNN Bloomberg
Microsoft’s wild ride: Stock hits new record after a year of ups and downs - GeekWire
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 6:27 AM +0.10
Microsoft’s wild ride: Stock hits new record after a year of ups and downs GeekWire
4 stocks to watch on Wednesday:PG, MS, NFLX, and ASML (SPX:) - Seeking Alpha
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 5:57 AM 0.00
4 stocks to watch on Wednesday:PG, MS, NFLX, and ASML (SPX:) Seeking Alpha
Wall Street sets Microsoft stock price target for next 12 months - Finbold
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 5:31 AM 0.00
Wall Street sets Microsoft stock price target for next 12 months Finbold
Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 5:30 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates Yahoo Finance
Morgan Stanley will discuss its third-quarter results at 9:30 a.m. ET. - Stock Titan
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 14 4:31 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley will discuss its third-quarter results at 9:30 a.m. ET. Stock Titan
Microsoft’s wild ride: Stock hits new record after a year of ups and downs
MS stock - BingNews Oct 13 11:27 PM +0.30
Microsoft’s stock has gained about $1.4 trillion in value since late June, lifting the company’s market value just above $4 trillion. The rebound accelerated after Microsoft reported 43% growth in ...
What’s behind Microsoft’s surging share price - The Seattle Times
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 3:45 PM 0.00
What’s behind Microsoft’s surging share price The Seattle Times
Microsoft Stock Reaches a Record High. How It Suddenly Became an AI Winner. - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 1:56 PM +0.10
Microsoft Stock Reaches a Record High. How It Suddenly Became an AI Winner. Barron's
Marvell Stock Is on a Bad Run, but Microsoft’s New AI Chips Can Revive It - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 11:56 AM 0.00
Marvell Stock Is on a Bad Run, but Microsoft’s New AI Chips Can Revive It Barron's
Why Nvidia Stock Is Up Even as Microsoft Launches the Maia 300 - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 11:53 AM 0.00
Why Nvidia Stock Is Up Even as Microsoft Launches the Maia 300 Barron's
Microsoft stock is on pace for its first record close in nearly a year - Quartz
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:15 AM 0.00
Microsoft stock is on pace for its first record close in nearly a year Quartz
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Quotes, Company News And Chart Analysis - Investor's Business Daily
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:03 AM 0.00
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Quotes, Company News And Chart Analysis Investor's Business Daily
Microsoft Stock Heads for a Record High With More AI Upside Ahead - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 7:03 AM +0.10
Microsoft Stock Heads for a Record High With More AI Upside Ahead Barron's
Claude Was Right About Microsoft (MSFT): Can The Stock Keep Rising? - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 6:31 AM 0.00
Claude Was Right About Microsoft (MSFT): Can The Stock Keep Rising? Yahoo Finance
How much MSFT stock does Microsoft founder Bill Gates actually own?
MS stock - BingNews Oct 13 6:24 AM 0.00
Bill Gates has spent decades giving away his Microsoft fortune; we examine how much MSFT stock he still owns in 2026.
Morgan Stanley (MS) Nears Earnings, Is The Stock Still Below Fair Value? - Simply Wall Street
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 3:41 AM -0.10
Morgan Stanley (MS) Nears Earnings, Is The Stock Still Below Fair Value? Simply Wall Street
Morgan Stanley Q3 Earnings Preview: Revenue Expected to Grow 10.8%, Highest Wall Street Target Price Sees $262 - TradingKey
"MS stock" - Google News Oct 13 2:20 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley Q3 Earnings Preview: Revenue Expected to Grow 10.8%, Highest Wall Street Target Price Sees $262 TradingKey
Microsoft stock hits record high as company spends big on AI
MS stock - BingNews Oct 13 1:45 AM 0.00
The Redmond-based tech giant’s stock price closed at $543.45. A day earlier, it reclaimed a $4 trillion market valuation.
Microsoft’s CEO Just Called for a Kill Switch on AI. Here Is What It Means for the Stock.
MS stock - BingNews Oct 12 11:45 PM 0.00
Satya Nadella publicly asked for a way to stop his own AI products cold, and the reasoning behind that request has real consequences for whether Microsoft's massive spending bet pays off.
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