MS - Morgan Stanley

Stock Analysis

Data: 2025-12-10
us_universe.csv
Last updated: Dec 10, 2025 at 6:00 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 163.21 • 52W 94.33 - 171.77

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 64% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
64%
119 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+4.9%
76 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.0%
43 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 14 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 8 signals)
Best Signal Type
PullbackBounce
16 signals • 75% win rate
Avg gain: +3.2%
Worst Signal Type
MA200Reclaim
6 signals • 33% win rate
Avg loss: 1.4%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PullbackBounce 75%
16 signals +3.2%
MA50Touch 67%
12 signals +0.6%
PocketPivot 64%
59 signals +2.3%
Breakout 62%
26 signals +1.7%
MA200Reclaim 33%
6 signals +1.4%
Trading Insights
lightbulb Favorable risk/reward - winners (4.9%) outpace losers (-3.0%).
lightbulb Focus on PullbackBounce signals - 75% win rate.
lightbulb Avoid MA200Reclaim signals - only 33% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.41)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±6% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting balanced cycle behavior and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 2.0 0.41 Moderate ?
4% 2.0 0.26 Weak+ ?
5% 2.0 0.26 Weak+ ?
?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????169.919998168945386.9899978637695304-1506-2609-0611-1501-3104-1406-2609-0811-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$163.21
Score U
0.701
RS 6M U
86
RS 3M U
85

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 2.48:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 2.48:1 (Risk 2.1%) | Low-Risk BUY

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

grade Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
check_circle Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 2.48:1) (1 points)
Total Points: 5 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$159.82

2.1% risk
Potential Upside

+5.2%

R/R: 2.5:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$16.93 (10.4%)
Range: $146.29 - $180.14

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward currently favorable at about 2.5:1, but position sizing should reflect volatility.

Positives
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Strong relative strength (RS6M 86, RS3M 85)

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High composite score 0.701

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Absolute rating Buy

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Attractive R/C 2.5:1

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.47)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 8

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Elite 6m RS: 86th percentile (top 14%)

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Elite 3m RS: 85th percentile (top 15%)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Strong accumulation: 1.47x up/down volume

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Tight base: 37th percentile ATR (low volatility)

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Near 52-week high: -5.0% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 2.48:1 (Risk 2.1%, Reward 5.2% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 0

info

No bearish factors identified

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$163.21
MA 50
$159.82
2.1%
MA 150
$142.74
14.3%
MA 200
$137.99
18.3%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Dec 10 18:00

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.02 Articles 7d: 39 Latest: -0.08 (14)Peak: +0.12 Dec 7
Oracle stock reacts to Q2 revenue miss as RPO surges to $523B - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 1:17 PM 0.00
Oracle stock reacts to Q2 revenue miss as RPO surges to $523B Yahoo Finance
Why Microsoft Stock Tumbled Today - The Motley Fool
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 1:13 PM 0.00
Why Microsoft Stock Tumbled Today The Motley Fool
Microsoft Stock Nears Breakout As $23 Billion AI Plan Meets Stabilizing Chart Signals - Seeking Alpha
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 10:28 AM 0.00
Microsoft Stock Nears Breakout As $23 Billion AI Plan Meets Stabilizing Chart Signals Seeking Alpha
Should you own Microsoft stock? - Cantech Letter
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 10:00 AM 0.00
Should you own Microsoft stock? Cantech Letter
Microsoft: Oversold And Still Growing (NASDAQ:MSFT) - Seeking Alpha
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 8:31 AM 0.00
Microsoft: Oversold And Still Growing (NASDAQ:MSFT) Seeking Alpha
Microsoft Stock Forecast: Why $350 May Be Fair Value - Forbes
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 8:17 AM 0.00
Microsoft Stock Forecast: Why $350 May Be Fair Value Forbes
Microsoft stock plunges: is MSFT losing its AI first-mover advantage? - TradingView
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 7:52 AM -0.10
Microsoft stock plunges: is MSFT losing its AI first-mover advantage? TradingView
Why Microsoft stock tumbled today
MS stock - BingNews Dec 10 6:13 AM 0.00
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 981% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 194% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you ...
Microsoft (MSFT): Taking Stock of Valuation After New $17.5B India and CAD 7.5B Canada AI Investments - simplywall.st
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 5:33 AM 0.00
Microsoft (MSFT): Taking Stock of Valuation After New $17.5B India and CAD 7.5B Canada AI Investments simplywall.st
Morgan Stanley $MS Shares Sold by Menora Mivtachim Holdings LTD. - MarketBeat
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 5:01 AM +0.10
Morgan Stanley $MS Shares Sold by Menora Mivtachim Holdings LTD. MarketBeat
Marvell Stock Falls Again. ‘Block Out the Noise,’ Analysts Say. - Barron's
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 10 4:35 AM -0.20
Marvell Stock Falls Again. ‘Block Out the Noise,’ Analysts Say. Barron's
Microsoft Stock Outlook: Is A Decline To $350 Possible?
MS stock - BingNews Dec 10 3:47 AM -0.10
MSFT stock decreased by 37.6% from a peak of $343.11 on 19 November 2021 to $214.25 on 3 November 2022, compared to a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% for the S&P 500. Since that time, the stock rose to a ...
Microsoft Stock Nears Breakout As $23 Billion AI Plan Meets Stabilizing Chart Signals
MS stock - BingNews Dec 10 1:28 AM +0.10
The daily structure shows Microsoft holding firmly above the 200-day EMA at $479. This level served as the final floor during November’s correction and marked the zone where buyers repeatedly absorbed ...
Microsoft stock plunges: Is MSFT losing its AI first-mover advantage?
MS stock - BingNews Dec 09 11:52 PM -0.20
Microsoft stock (NASDAQ: MSFT) dropped sharply on Wednesday amid investor concerns about whether the company’s commanding position in enterprise AI is genuinely unassailable. While the company has ...
Earnings live: GameStop stock sinks, Cracker Barrel tumbles as sales decline - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 2:17 PM 0.00
Earnings live: GameStop stock sinks, Cracker Barrel tumbles as sales decline Yahoo Finance
Microsoft Outlook Brighter With Azure, OpenAI Deal In Focus. Is The Software Giant A Buy Now? - Investor's Business Daily
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 11:35 AM 0.00
Microsoft Outlook Brighter With Azure, OpenAI Deal In Focus. Is The Software Giant A Buy Now? Investor's Business Daily
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Shares Little Changed in Financials - Kalkine Media
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 8:39 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Shares Little Changed in Financials Kalkine Media
Can Microsoft Stock Sustain Its AI Infrastructure Investment Pace? - Zacks Investment Research
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 8:00 AM 0.00
Can Microsoft Stock Sustain Its AI Infrastructure Investment Pace? Zacks Investment Research
State Street Corp Sells 3,021,615 Shares of Morgan Stanley $MS - MarketBeat
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 5:09 AM +0.10
State Street Corp Sells 3,021,615 Shares of Morgan Stanley $MS MarketBeat
Microsoft vs. Amazon: Which Cloud Computing Stock Will Outperform in 2026? - The Motley Fool
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 09 2:30 AM +0.10
Microsoft vs. Amazon: Which Cloud Computing Stock Will Outperform in 2026? The Motley Fool
Can Microsoft Stock Sustain Its AI Infrastructure Investment Pace?
MS stock - BingNews Dec 09 2:20 AM +0.10
MSFT's soaring AI infrastructure spend, up 74% to $34.9B, raises fresh questions over how long the company can maintain its aggressive expansion pace.
Microsoft vs. Amazon: Which Cloud Computing Stock Will Outperform in 2026?
MS stock - BingNews Dec 08 7:30 PM +0.10
Both Amazon and Microsoft should perform well in 2026, but one has the bigger opportunity.
Microsoft sends harsh message to millions of Microsoft 365 customers - TheStreet
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 3:03 PM 0.00
Microsoft sends harsh message to millions of Microsoft 365 customers TheStreet
Earnings live: Mentions of 'AI' on earnings calls reach peak levels as Oracle gears up to report - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 1:49 PM 0.00
Earnings live: Mentions of 'AI' on earnings calls reach peak levels as Oracle gears up to report Yahoo Finance
Microsoft Shareholders Approve 2026 Stock Plan - TipRanks
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 1:41 PM 0.00
Microsoft Shareholders Approve 2026 Stock Plan TipRanks
Marvell Stock Down As Microsoft Mulls Switch To Broadcom For Custom Chips - Investor's Business Daily
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 1:26 PM 0.00
Marvell Stock Down As Microsoft Mulls Switch To Broadcom For Custom Chips Investor's Business Daily
Broadcom Stock Rides Market Momentum As Marvell Faces Microsoft, Amazon Setbacks - Benzinga
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 9:16 AM 0.00
Broadcom Stock Rides Market Momentum As Marvell Faces Microsoft, Amazon Setbacks Benzinga
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (Dec 2025) - 24/7 Wall St.
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 5:25 AM 0.00
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (Dec 2025) 24/7 Wall St.
Marvell stock falls on Microsoft-Broadcom talks and Amazon design loss fears - Investing.com
"MS stock" - Google News Dec 08 4:48 AM -0.30
Marvell stock falls on Microsoft-Broadcom talks and Amazon design loss fears Investing.com
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (Dec 2025)
MS stock - BingNews Dec 08 1:25 AM +0.10
With its dominance in productivity, business solutions, and cloud computing, 24/7 Wall St. projects strong upside for Microsoft through 2030.
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