MS - Morgan Stanley

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-06-19
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 at 1:02 PMFresh

show_chart Price & Trend 194.53 • 52W 130.90 - 197.50

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

auto_graph Pattern Recognition

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Strong pattern recognition: 63% of signals lead to gains within 10 days.

Signal Success Rate
63%
127 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+5.3%
80 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-3.2%
47 losses
Recurring Behaviors
trending_up Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 13 signals in a row)
trending_down Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 9 signals)
rocket_launch Pullbacks outperform breakouts (76% vs 54% win rate)
Best Signal Type
MA50Touch
13 signals • 77% win rate
Avg gain: +2.8%
Worst Signal Type
Breakout
24 signals • 54% win rate
Avg loss: 0.5%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
MA50Touch 77%
13 signals +2.8%
PullbackBounce 75%
16 signals +3.3%
MA200Reclaim 62%
8 signals +2.7%
PocketPivot 61%
66 signals +2.2%
Breakout 54%
24 signals +0.5%
Trading Insights
lightbulb Favorable risk/reward - winners (5.3%) outpace losers (-3.2%).
lightbulb Focus on MA50Touch signals - 77% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±6% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.58)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±6% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting balanced cycle behavior and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
6% 2.0 0.58 Moderate ?
4% 2.0 0.35 Moderate ?
?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????194.5299987792968899.8300018310546910-0912-1903-0605-1607-3010-0912-1903-0505-14
? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±6% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

assessment Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$194.53
Score U
0.735
RS 6M U
71
RS 3M U
82

description Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 0.19:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Strong Momentum (Sustained) | R/R 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Strong Momentum (Sustained)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

grade Absolute Rating

Hold Standalone Technical Quality
check_circle Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
cancel 13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
cancel 4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
check_circle Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
check_circle ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
cancel Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
cancel Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.19:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 4 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

security Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$178.97

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+1.5%

R/R: 0.2:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$18.58 (9.6%)
Range: $175.95 - $213.11

insights What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.2:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives
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Strong relative strength (RS6M 71, RS3M 82)

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High composite score 0.735

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Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

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Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.86)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

thumb_up Bullish Factors 9

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Strong 6m RS: 71th percentile

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Elite 3m RS: 82th percentile (top 18%)

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Accelerating momentum (3m > 6m RS)

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Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

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Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

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Strong accumulation: 1.86x up/down volume

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Tight base: 14th percentile ATR (low volatility)

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Near 52-week high: -1.5% off peak

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Risk/Reward: 0.19:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 1.5% )

thumb_down Bearish Factors 1

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Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

analytics Technical Indicators

Current Price
$194.53
MA 50
$175.99
10.5%
MA 150
$173.66
12.0%
MA 200
$167.99
15.8%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Jun 21 13:02

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: -0.01 Articles 7d: 22 Latest: 0.00 (1)Peak: -0.11 Jun 18
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Microsoft: The AI Utility Masquerading As A Software Stock (NASDAQ:MSFT) Seeking Alpha
Microsoft Is the Worst-Performing Mag 7 Stock in 2026: Here’s Why - Benzinga
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 20 11:40 AM 0.00
Microsoft Is the Worst-Performing Mag 7 Stock in 2026: Here’s Why Benzinga
Microsoft Is Not Cheap: Drop To Multi-Year Lows Likely - Seeking Alpha
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 20 2:39 AM -0.10
Microsoft Is Not Cheap: Drop To Multi-Year Lows Likely Seeking Alpha
Is Robinhood Markets Stock Outperforming the S&P 500? - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 19 5:20 PM +0.10
Is Robinhood Markets Stock Outperforming the S&P 500? Yahoo Finance
'Nothing like this:' Neighbors take stock after extreme Mississippi flooding - AccuWeather
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 19 2:03 PM -0.10
'Nothing like this:' Neighbors take stock after extreme Mississippi flooding AccuWeather
Microsoft vs. Nvidia: Which AI giant is the better dividend stock for the long haul?
MS stock - BingNews Jun 19 9:00 AM +0.10
The AI race isn't just about which company can say "artificial intelligence" the most. It's about which ones turn it into real growth, and which ones share that growth with shareholders. That last ...
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock After 72% One-Year Jump What Do Valuation Models Suggest Now - Yahoo Finance
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 19 1:15 AM 0.00
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock After 72% One-Year Jump What Do Valuation Models Suggest Now Yahoo Finance
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock After 72% Yearly Rally Are Recent Gains Justified - simplywall.st
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 18 5:06 PM +0.20
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock After 72% Yearly Rally Are Recent Gains Justified simplywall.st
Accenture Plunges On Fiscal Q3 Results. Analyst Downgrades On 2027 Outlook. - Investor's Business Daily
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 18 12:20 PM -0.20
Accenture Plunges On Fiscal Q3 Results. Analyst Downgrades On 2027 Outlook. Investor's Business Daily
Microsoft Shareholders Sue Over $357 Billion Stock Wipeout - Gadget Review
"MS stock" - Google News Jun 18 8:35 AM 0.00
Microsoft Shareholders Sue Over $357 Billion Stock Wipeout Gadget Review
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