ROST - Ross Stores, Inc.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PMFresh

Price & Trend 213.27 • 52W 154.69 - 231.16

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
58%
114 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+3.8%
66 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.3%
48 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 15 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 12 signals)
Breakouts outperform pullbacks (79% vs 45% win rate)
Best Signal Type
Breakout
14 signals • 79% win rate
Avg gain: +1.4%
Worst Signal Type
PullbackBounce
14 signals • 43% win rate
Avg loss: -1.5%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
Breakout 79%
14 signals +1.4%
MA200Reclaim 62%
8 signals +1.6%
PocketPivot 59%
63 signals +0.6%
MA50Touch 47%
15 signals -0.4%
PullbackBounce 43%
14 signals -1.5%
Trading Insights
Caution: Avg loss (-4.3%) exceeds avg win (3.8%).
Focus on Breakout signals - 79% win rate.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±8% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.49)

This stock shows a moderate ±8% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±8% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting downward / accumulation bias with more troughs than peaks and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
8% 2.0 0.49 Moderate ?
1% 0.0 0.00 Weak —
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±8% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$213.27
Score U
0.718
RS 6M U
87
RS 3M U
78

Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: A Strong R/C: 1.68:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Tight Base Breakout (VCP) | Pullback/Consolidation | Strong Momentum (Sustained) | R/R 1.68:1 (Risk 5.0%) | BUY

Trend

Pullback/Consolidation

Momentum

Strong Momentum (Sustained)

Setup Type

Tight Base Breakout (VCP)

Absolute Rating

Underperform Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (0 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (0 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (1 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 1.68:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 3 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$202.61

5.0% risk
Potential Upside

+8.4%

R/R: 1.7:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$22.09 (10.4%)
Range: $191.18 - $235.36

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Risk/Reward moderate (~1.7:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 87, RS3M 78)

High composite score 0.718

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.32)

Negatives / Risks
No major technical risks

Bullish Factors 7

Elite 6m RS: 87th percentile (top 13%)

Strong 3m RS: 78th percentile

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Strong accumulation: 1.32x up/down volume

Tight base: 22th percentile ATR (low volatility)

Near 52-week high: -7.7% off peak

Risk/Reward: 1.68:1 (Risk 5.0%, Reward 8.4% )

Bearish Factors 2

Price below MA50 (short-term weakness)

Recent weakness: -5.0% in 1 week

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$213.27
MA 50
$218.92
-2.6%
MA 150
$192.25
10.9%
MA 200
$181.17
17.7%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 18:00

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: +0.02 Articles 7d: 24 Latest: 0.00 (1)Peak: +0.08 Oct 7
Ross Stores (ROST) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know
ROST stock - BingNews Oct 15 7:15 AM 0.00
In the latest trading session, Ross Stores (ROST) closed at $234.83, marking a +1.85% move from the previous day. The stock's performance was ahead of the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.33%. Meanwhile, the ...
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Forecasts - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 14 4:48 PM 0.00
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Forecasts Yahoo! Finance Canada
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After Its 119% Run - Simply Wall Street
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 14 3:13 AM +0.10
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After Its 119% Run Simply Wall Street
Ross Stores (ROST) Completes Its Expansion Program, Is The Stock Fully Priced? - Yahoo Finance
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 13 12:18 PM 0.00
Ross Stores (ROST) Completes Its Expansion Program, Is The Stock Fully Priced? Yahoo Finance
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock May Look Stretched After 115 New Store Openings - Yahoo Finance
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:14 AM 0.00
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock May Look Stretched After 115 New Store Openings Yahoo Finance
Ross Stores Expands Footprint With 51 New Store Openings - Zacks Investment Research
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 13 10:00 AM 0.00
Ross Stores Expands Footprint With 51 New Store Openings Zacks Investment Research
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Forecasts - Yahoo Finance
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 13 4:16 AM 0.00
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Forecasts Yahoo Finance
Ross Stores (ROST) Completes Its Expansion Program, Is The Stock Fully Priced?
ROST stock - BingNews Oct 13 12:00 AM 0.00
Ross Stores (ROST) just wrapped up its fiscal 2026 expansion effort, adding 51 new locations across 17 states, which completes a 115 store buildout that has attracted fresh investor attention. For ...
Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $263.76 - MarketBeat
"ROST stock" - Google News Oct 12 11:44 PM +0.10
Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $263.76 MarketBeat
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock May Look Stretched After 115 New Store Openings
ROST stock - BingNews Oct 12 8:15 PM +0.10
Ross Stores has delivered a long stretch of strong shareholder returns, which puts a spotlight on whether the current share price lines up with what its earnings can support. With the stock now ...
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