STLD - Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Stock Analysis

Data: 2026-10-15
Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 5:58 PMFresh

Price & Trend 234.68 • 52W 140.87 - 243.73

Volume
Close
EMA9
MA50
MA150
MA200
Breakout
MA200 Reclaim
MA50 Touch
Pocket Pivot
PB Bounce
EMA9 Cross

Pattern Recognition

Signal Success Rate
53%
123 total signals
Avg Gain on Winners
+5.1%
65 wins
Avg Loss on Losers
-4.7%
58 losses
Recurring Behaviors
Tendency to go on win streaks (longest: 14 signals in a row)
Warning: Can experience losing streaks (longest: 8 signals)
Pullbacks outperform breakouts (58% vs 40% win rate)
Best Signal Type
PullbackBounce
18 signals • 61% win rate
Avg gain: +2.0%
Worst Signal Type
Breakout
15 signals • 40% win rate
Avg loss: 0.7%
All Signal Types (Best ? Worst)
PullbackBounce 61%
18 signals +2.0%
PocketPivot 56%
57 signals +1.1%
MA50Touch 50%
8 signals -3.6%
MA200Reclaim 48%
25 signals -0.7%
Breakout 40%
15 signals +0.7%
Trading Insights
Avoid Breakout signals - only 40% successful.

Swing Cycle Analysis

Dominant pattern: ±10% every ~2.0 days (strength 0.31)

This stock shows a moderate ±10% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

This stock exhibits a moderate ±10% swing about every ~2.0 days, suggesting upward bias with limited downside troughs and some repeatability but still variable timing.

Swing Avg Days Strength Pattern?
10% 2.0 0.31 Moderate ?
4% 12.0 0.21 Weak+ ?
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? Trough ? Peak(turning points)

This stock shows a moderate ±10% swing pattern approximately every 2.0 days, though timing variability reduces reliability.

Key Metrics Universe Updated

Price
$234.68
Score U
0.700
RS 6M U
91
RS 3M U
89

Recommendation Summary

Buy Confidence: 10/10 Performance: B+ Good R/C: 0.49:1

BUY (Confidence: 10/10) - Breakout Candidate | Strong Uptrend (Stage 2) | Explosive Momentum (Elite) | R/R 0.49:1 (Risk 8.0%) | Avoid/Extended

Trend

Strong Uptrend (Stage 2)

Momentum

Explosive Momentum (Elite)

Setup Type

Breakout Candidate

Absolute Rating

Buy Standalone Technical Quality
Trend Strength (Price > MA50, proper stack) (2 points)
13W Return ? +20% (0 points)
4W Return ? +8% (1 points)
Up/Down Volume ? 1.10 (1 points)
ATR(20) ? 3.5% (1 points)
Within 5%-25% of 52W High (0 points)
Risk/Reward ? 2:1 (R/R 0.49:1) (0 points)
Total Points: 5 out of 9
Future Analytics

Coming soon...

Risk Management

Suggested Stop Loss

$215.91

8.0% risk
Potential Upside

+3.9%

R/R: 0.5:1
Expected Move (20 d, ATR Proxy)
±$32.31 (13.8%)
Range: $202.37 - $266.99

What It Means

The stock shows a mix of technical characteristics with strong relative strength and a solid composite score. Some developing risks (e.g., Stretched above MA200 +39%) to monitor. Risk/Reward moderate (~0.5:1); catalysts or consolidation may improve it.

Positives

Strong relative strength (RS6M 91, RS3M 89)

Absolute rating Buy

Perfect moving average stack (healthy uptrend)

Accumulation (Up/Down Vol 1.59)

Negatives / Risks

Stretched above MA200 +39%

Bullish Factors 7

Elite 6m RS: 91th percentile (top 9%)

Elite 3m RS: 89th percentile (top 11%)

Perfect MA stack (MA50 > MA150 > MA200)

Price above all major MAs (strong trend)

Strong accumulation: 1.59x up/down volume

Near 52-week high: -3.7% off peak

Risk/Reward: 0.49:1 (Risk 8.0%, Reward 3.9% )

Bearish Factors 1

Suboptimal R/R (<1:1)

Technical Indicators

Current Price
$234.68
MA 50
$198.94
18.0%
MA 150
$180.24
30.2%
MA 200
$168.28
39.5%

News & Sentiment

Last updated Oct 15 17:58

Sentiment line (?1..+1) with scaled article volume bars (height relative to sentiment range). Rolling 7d average smooths trend.

Positive day
Negative day
Neutral
Sentiment
7d Avg
Avg 7d: -0.01 Articles 7d: 28 Latest: -0.03 (6)Peak: -0.14 Oct 6
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Nears Earnings Growth, Is The Stock Still Trading At A Discount? - Simply Wall Street
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 15 2:49 PM +0.10
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Nears Earnings Growth, Is The Stock Still Trading At A Discount? Simply Wall Street
Cleveland-Cliffs Drops 4% as Tariff Doubt Returns; Nucor and Steel Dynamics Slip
STLD stock - BingNews Oct 15 3:50 AM -0.30
Cleveland-Cliffs is falling several times harder than its steel rivals today, and the reason comes down to a structural quirk that puts the company on both sides of the same trade policy at once.
STLD Nov 2026 380.000 put (STLD261120P00380000) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 15 2:34 AM 0.00
STLD Nov 2026 380.000 put (STLD261120P00380000) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada
Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Sets Up for Breakout With Strong Technical Ratings - ChartMill
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 15 1:51 AM +0.10
Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Sets Up for Breakout With Strong Technical Ratings ChartMill
STLD Mar 2027 380.000 call (STLD270319C00380000) Interactive Stock Chart - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 14 11:56 PM 0.00
STLD Mar 2027 380.000 call (STLD270319C00380000) Interactive Stock Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Forecasts - Yahoo! Finance Canada
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 14 7:16 PM 0.00
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Forecasts Yahoo! Finance Canada
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures - Yahoo Finance
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 14 5:15 AM 0.00
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures Yahoo Finance
BlackRock Jumps On Across The Board Earnings Beat; State Street Plummets
STLD stock - BingNews Oct 13 11:41 PM 0.00
BlackRock topped estimates across all key categories sending the stock up about 3%. State Street reported mixed earnings that investors looked down on, as the stock dropped 7%.
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Q3 earnings on the horizon: Analysts' insights on key performance measures
STLD stock - BingNews Oct 13 10:15 PM 0.00
Analysts on Wall Street project that Steel Dynamics (STLD) will announce quarterly earnings of $5.42 per share in its forthcoming report, representing an increase of 97.8% year over year. Revenues are ...
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Trades Below Fair Value On Cash Flow - Simply Wall Street
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 13 6:38 AM -0.10
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Trades Below Fair Value On Cash Flow Simply Wall Street
STLD Sep 2027 170.000 call (STLD270917C00170000) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UK
"STLD stock" - Google News Oct 12 7:39 PM 0.00
STLD Sep 2027 170.000 call (STLD270917C00170000) stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK
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